NICK AYTON.
Field Notes · Cash and velocity

Why is my profitable business running out of cash?

Profit is an opinion. Cash is a fact. If the two are pulling apart, you don't have an accounting problem — you have a velocity problem.

Nick Ayton · 13 August 2026 · 7 min read

The short answer: profit is calculated, cash is real. Your P&L can recognise revenue months before money arrives, and it says nothing at all about how long the journey took. When the machine that turns a customer's decision into cleared cash slows down, the business quietly finances that gap out of its own pocket — while every number on the board pack continues to look acceptable.

You are not badly run. You are slow. And slow is expensive in a way that no line on the profit and loss account will ever show you.

Where the money actually goes

Follow a single order through your business and time it. Not the sales cycle — the whole thing, from the moment a customer signals they want something to the moment the money clears and nobody is disputing it.

In most businesses I look at, nobody has ever done this. Sales can tell you their part. Finance can tell you days sales outstanding. Operations can tell you delivery lead times. Nobody owns the whole number, because no function does. And the parts that nobody owns are exactly the parts that decay.

What you find when you time it properly is that the delays are not where anyone expects. They are in the handoffs. Contract sitting with legal for eleven days. Pricing approval bouncing between two people who are both waiting for the other. An invoice that cannot be raised because a delivery note was never signed. A dispute nobody has picked up because it belongs to two departments at once.

None of that appears anywhere. It is invisible cost, and it is being paid every single day.

The four usual culprits

1. The cycle got longer and nobody noticed

Cycle extension is gradual, which is why it survives. Two extra days here, an extra approval there, one more sign-off after that incident three years ago. Each addition was sensible in isolation. Together they have added six weeks to your conversion, and six weeks of conversion is six weeks of working capital you are funding for free.

2. Rework you have stopped counting as rework

Every order that has to be touched twice costs you the margin on the second touch. Most businesses have normalised a level of rework so completely that it is now built into the operating plan — the quote that always needs correcting, the spec that always changes, the invoice that always gets queried. Ask your team what percentage of orders go through cleanly first time. The gap between what they guess and what the data shows is usually the most expensive number in the business.

3. Discount leakage at the edges

Not the headline discount that goes through pricing governance. The other kind — the extra payment terms conceded to close a quarter, the free implementation thrown in, the scope that expanded during negotiation and never made it back into the contract. Each one is a cash decision dressed as a commercial one, and each one is taken by someone whose bonus depends on the order rather than the cash.

4. You are funding your customers

Look at what your payment terms actually are, versus what they are on paper, versus what your suppliers give you. In a lot of businesses that gap has been widening for years because nobody revisits terms once they are set. You are running a small bank on the side, at zero interest, for customers who are not asking you to.

The uncomfortable arithmetic. If your conversion has slowed by twenty per cent and your revenue has grown by ten, you are running harder to stand still and paying for the privilege in cash. That is a business that looks like it is winning and feels like it is drowning. Because it is.

Why the P&L hides it

Every number in your board pack is a lagging indicator. By the time a decline shows up in the profit and loss account it has been building for four to eight quarters, and the business that produced those figures no longer exists in the form described.

Growth makes it worse, not better. A business can grow the top line while its conversion machine slows — it simply spends more to stand still. More people, longer cycles, deeper discounts, more rework, more working capital. Every one of those is presented at the board as investment in growth. Some of it genuinely is. Most of it is the cost of friction that nobody has named.

This is why your instinct matters. CEOs describe the same feeling almost word for word: decisions take longer than they used to, customers are harder work, meetings multiply, everyone looks busy, and the whole thing feels like wading through mud. That is not a mood. It is a measurement that has not been given a number yet.

What to measure instead

You need one number that crosses every boundary and that nobody can massage. Cash Conversion Velocity is the speed at which your business turns customer intent into cleared cash — starting when the customer decides, not when finance gets an order.

It is deliberately not a finance metric. A functional measure can be defended by the function that owns it. CCV belongs to nobody, so nobody can defend it. It simply tells you whether the machine is faster or slower than it was last quarter.

That is also why it is unpopular. Revenue can be timed. Margin can be presented. EBITDA can be adjusted. Velocity is a physical property of the business — you either convert faster than you did, or you don't.

What not to do

Do not launch a cost reduction exercise. I mean this literally: a cost programme started before the diagnosis is complete is confirmation that the real problem has not been found. It will buy you a quarter and cost you the year, because the capacity you remove is almost never the capacity that was causing the drag. Usually it is the opposite — the experienced people who were quietly absorbing the friction leave first.

Do not buy a system either. Systems encode the operating model you already have. Automate a flow that nobody designed and you get the same breakage, faster and more expensively, with better reporting on the breakage.

And do not restructure sales. The squeeze will be showing up there first, because sales sits at the front of the flow. That does not make it a sales problem. It almost never is.

A cost reduction exercise is confirmation the real problem hasn't been found.

Where to start

Time one real order end to end — from the customer's decision to cleared cash, using dates from source systems rather than anyone's memory. Then ask three people separately what proportion of orders go through cleanly first time.

Those two things take an afternoon and will tell you more than a quarter of board packs. Where the answers disagree is where nobody owns the flow.

The method in full is in The Slow Bleed. If you would rather have it measured properly on your own numbers in two to three weeks, that is the CCV Diagnostic.